MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd639ab51a4ff3c0359c4a0bbc05283f088524c007692746778cd2618236859ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,359,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,420,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,359,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 613 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 175,646$87,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,425.51 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 107,838$58,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,940.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 74,388$29,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,707.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 35,628$16,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,095.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 33,248$16,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,014.18 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 29,107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 27,865$14,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,490 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 25,652$10,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,640.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 17,900$10,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,023.95 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 16,560$8,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,445.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 16,508$8,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,418.85 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 14,204$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,954.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 13,696$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 12,062$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.76 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 11,785$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 11,022$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.76 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 10,256$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 10,000$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.67 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 9,532$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.85 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 8,789$6,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,763.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 8,342$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 8,177$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 7,271$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.14 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 7,069$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 6,849$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.36 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 6,557$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.01 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 6,411$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 6,255$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 6,087$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.44 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,700$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.95 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 5,531$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 5,512$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.59 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 5,357$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.75 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +10.0wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 4,828$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.96 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…3f44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,587$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…156cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 4,552$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…5febbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 4,242$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 4,090$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 3,967$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 3,920$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,872$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 3,479$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,162$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.22 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…61e5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,968$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 2,814$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.25 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,699$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.51 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 2,656$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.92 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,602$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.2 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,539$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,525$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 2,492$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…aa80backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 2,470$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 2,466$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,437$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,364$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,315$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.31 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,314$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,232$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 1,921$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.11 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,905$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.82 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…f59bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,903$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…84c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 1,885$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,645$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.91 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,566$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,539$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,522$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,502$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,435$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.61 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,419$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,365$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.16 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 1,355$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.9 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,338$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.57 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,290$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,268$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,258$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,252$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.71 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,180$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…d16ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,147$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.55 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…436bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,121$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…6ddbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,110$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.