MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe49e3a1e70ae6fd491ae0b002201be73b04c5a3a336f949a7a625bc0503953b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $843,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $845,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 66c | 562,596$372,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372,771.34 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 215,309$80,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,366.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 36c | 210,764$75,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,773.85 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 132,438$69,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,543.45 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 41c | 43,346$17,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,709.32 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 36c | 39,518$14,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,334.39 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 32c | 38,474$12,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,162.32 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 59c | 36,407$21,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,484.4 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…df44backed Over | 40c | 35,940$14,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,564 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Over | 32c | 30,000$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 26,447$9,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,034.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 40c | 20,784$8,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,480.61 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 38c | 11,946$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,446.19 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over | 40c | 11,809$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 10,849$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 39c | 6,224$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.44 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 32c | 6,177$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.14 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over | 40c | 5,884$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.39 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 5,364$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.17 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 61c | 5,307$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.17 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 60c | 5,296$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Over | 38c | 4,800$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 36c | 4,534$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…2196backed Under | 60c | 3,900$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 3,302$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 60c | 2,836$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Over | 43c | 2,787$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.49 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 39c | 2,664$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.09 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 57c | 2,501$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 36c | 2,321$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.26 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.16 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 62c | 2,123$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.23 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Under | 60c | 1,984$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 48c | 1,874$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.49 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Over | 41c | 1,690$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 42c | 1,640$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.03 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 1,626$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.96 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 1,553$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Over | 32c | 1,547$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 60c | 1,478$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.8 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 36c | 1,467$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.12 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 39c | 1,393$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.57 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 53c | 1,245$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,214$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.02 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 35c | 1,187$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.45 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Under | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 61c | 1,149$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.98 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 42c | 1,080$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.4 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 56c | 1,073$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.3 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Under | 62c | 1,065$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 39c | 1,034$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.17 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Over | 40c | 1,012$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 43c | 987.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.79 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 52c | 987.14$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.64 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Over | 14c | 877.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 874.99$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.25 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Over | 41c | 868.29$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 42c | 811.9$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.54 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 768.3$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.42 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed Over | 61c | 660$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 30c | 650.57$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.48 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked Over | 41c | 617.7$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Under | 62c | 612.9$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 32c | 603.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.42 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Under | 51c | 584.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Over | 53c | 583.6$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 41c | 567.08$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.16 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 61c | 565.75$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.74 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 35c | 565.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.9 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 544.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 41c | 543.09$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.52 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 43c | 533.14$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.49 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 51c | 511.87$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.87 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 505.69$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.41 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 39c | 500$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 57c | 481.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 467.52$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Under | 62c | 427.15$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.83 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 40c | 390$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 372.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed Over | 69c | 369.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 36c | 344.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 66c | 340.91$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 54c | 331.31$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 40c | 310.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 61c | 306.24$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 42c | 304.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Over | 48c | 283.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 283.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 59c | 278.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 37c | 277$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.