South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e1801c2eec9ddd51f158ec33571ee9d4a5afdbef314fd64b95506d692b3a3fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd752…ce7fbacked Over | 38c | 4,094$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 27c | 3,215$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.25 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Over | 37c | 2,708$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 25c | 2,477$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.1 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 2,342$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,552$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 78c | 1,454$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 1,040$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 32c | 910.25$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 854.55$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.74 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 32c | 781$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 12c | 524.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 37c | 513.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 477.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 63c | 404.81$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 63c | 391.12$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 38c | 296.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 12c | 272.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 235.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 63c | 220.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 72c | 208.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 62c | 199$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 63c | 190.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 33c | 172.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 63c | 170.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 63c | 170.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 63c | 161.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 68c | 145.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 33c | 142.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 70c | 132.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Over | 18c | 126.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 121.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Under | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 33c | 100.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 99.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 78c | 98.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked Over | 38c | 97.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 69c | 97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 62c | 92.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 28c | 85.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 72c | 84.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 72c | 83.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked Under | 61c | 79.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Over | 27c | 73.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 71c | 71.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 72c | 64.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 22c | 51.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 64c | 48.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 74c | 48.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 64c | 45.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 63c | 44.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 63c | 44.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 39.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Under | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed Under | 63c | 37.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…2a35backed Over | 31c | 34.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 38c | 32.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 76c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Under | 75c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…20ebbacked Under | 78c | 25.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…5847backed Under | 63c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 63c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…555abacked Under | 77c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…f0d0backed Under | 74c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.