South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x564e98960b14e6644b04ecb0e52d8c88999de7132fb32bf1647071c747c8bb44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,077$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 1,093$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.14 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 892.59$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 52c | 847.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.08 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 63c | 684.46$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 542.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 62c | 473.82$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 61c | 444.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 436.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 76c | 323.65$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 64c | 305.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 35c | 302.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 41c | 278.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Over | 26c | 274.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 250.39$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 65c | 237.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 218.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 195.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 47c | 180.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 62c | 157.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 34c | 142.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked Under | 35c | 137.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 33c | 136.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 55c | 121.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 61c | 112.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 99.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 75c | 92.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 64c | 91.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 43c | 83.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 80c | 81.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Over | 64c | 76.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 37c | 75.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Over | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 41c | 41.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Over | 44c | 37.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 80c | 33.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 80c | 32.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Over | 41c | 31.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Over | 43c | 31.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 52c | 30.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 61c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Over | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Over | 61c | 23.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 61c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 71c | 22.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 61c | 21.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 61c | 21.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 61c | 21.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 63c | 20.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 63c | 19.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Under | 55c | 18.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 61c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 64c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Over | 61c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 61c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.