South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d6f8130f64fd45a3e4289045fbfb80f6dd62849a6e51aeadfb47bf65313cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,810$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,244$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.84 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 481.37$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.61 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 424.11$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 215.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 24c | 186.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 158.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 69c | 150.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed No | 8c | 139.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 118.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 43c | 107.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 80c | 82.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 48c | 74.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 71c | 69.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 35c | 63.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…b72abacked Yes | 40c | 36.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 35.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…7c34backed Yes | 47c | 27.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.