TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Heroic54c17,188$9,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,957.7333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Monte46c4,062$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.3317849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte45c3,581$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.587,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Monte49c2,319$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.316155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Monte46c2,314$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.2829235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Monte47c2,222$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.34520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Monte46c1,893$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.936639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Monte56c1,845$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.61,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic68c1,843$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.071,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte57c1,793$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.25,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Monte38c1,500$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.2731642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Monte57c1,365$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.514568.9%31 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Monte32c1,246$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.461,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Monte2c1,070$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.862,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.15,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Heroic54c964.78$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.5611947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Monte42c917.52$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.324,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Heroic43c898.63$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.2252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Monte39c761.01$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3224942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic60c732.71$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0845058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic60c719.36$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.124,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Heroic54c493.01$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked Monte20c487.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1731950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Heroic51c485.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.831852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Monte50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.51,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte41c418.23$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.756,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Heroic49c405.26$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.684052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Heroic48c402.51$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6814848%71 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Heroic40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24023653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Heroic73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Heroic52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Monte50c395.72$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed Monte51c369.14$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.918134.6%28 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Heroic54c363.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2329052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Monte13c350.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8749646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Monte28c339.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.693641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Monte51c318.34$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3519540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Heroic49c316.34$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.294119.5%8 W · 33 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-54.8%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Monte20c300.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1429934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Monte47c299.28$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6684037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Heroic72c295.77$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2758762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Heroic53c280.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8521246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Heroic55c268.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9720344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a34…3883backed Monte49c263.86$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Monte40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.414151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Monte46c209.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3127549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Heroic50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10056738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Monte50c199.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6344939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a88…a386backed Monte41c190.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.042227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Monte14c189.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5621519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Heroic54c179.07$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.183046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Monte49c178.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.241,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Monte41c176.13$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3538552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.12,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Monte30c164.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.246634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Monte45c136.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6115157%86 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked Monte46c130.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.242860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Heroic59c121.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8727548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Heroic50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5518352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Heroic49c108.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.995849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic54c106.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.871,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Monte46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3871951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Monte19c103.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6120349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Monte18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Monte31c96.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8610725.2%27 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Monte19c96.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.922,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Monte26c95.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.091,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48e…428fbacked Monte20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0411147.7%53 W · 58 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Monte26c94.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8511133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed Monte42c91.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6222938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd923…7ba3backed Monte46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Monte21c81.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.065655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed Monte20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1648826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa103…db38backed Monte49c79.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.787552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Monte20c76.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.237828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Monte51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Monte59c75.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7878963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Heroic63c74.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.432,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed Monte50c71.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6219939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x606f…71cebacked Monte51c69.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.381637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Monte33c64.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1880741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic55c59.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.572,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Heroic58c58.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5440050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Monte41c58.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.995749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…4b6dbacked Heroic54c52.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.311936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc005…97dbbacked Heroic37c51.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae0…0dfebacked Monte21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07cc…b2e6backed Monte58c48.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.272050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf238…c3babacked Monte57c41.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Monte36c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7244748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Heroic55c37.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0820251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Heroic67c34.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c1…be67backed Monte46c32.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.794654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d2…1945backed Heroic61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Heroic53c28.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2619652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Heroic75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2530348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…5473backed Heroic76c24.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9110969.7%76 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.