TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Heroic, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Heroic53c22,191$11,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,761.0333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e7…6a52backed Monte58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.992055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed5…7f92backed Monte45c4,664$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Monte47c3,555$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.0212453.2%66 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Monte47c3,460$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.5817148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Monte47c2,261$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20015052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Monte47c2,087$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.115844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Monte53c2,049$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.654,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic54c1,960$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.0745859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Monte47c1,689$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.288032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Monte49c1,673$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.7545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Heroic56c1,430$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.3211241.1%46 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Heroic29c1,299$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.031,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Heroic46c1,212$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.91540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte47c1,115$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.195,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Monte45c1,030$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.874052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Monte51c1,000$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.5757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Heroic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic53c988.32$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.811,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Monte46c936.82$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.0652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Monte45c890.78$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.934454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Heroic56c869.29$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Heroic33c846.61$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5362350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Heroic55c845.63$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0911947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Heroic50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3888947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Heroic49c728.59$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8849646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Monte44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39264652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Monte47c635.12$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5723852.9%126 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Heroic59c613.05$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1331852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic40c608.88$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.912,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Heroic30c586.95$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4719540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Heroic53c584.96$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7312557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Monte69c569.95$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3525070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic51c523.69$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.691,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Monte47c504.23$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.242642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Heroic51c462.21$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7331642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Monte73c444.23$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.875466.7%36 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Monte47c413.21$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21915355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Heroic54c412.02$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.714119.5%8 W · 33 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-54.8%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic39c410.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.716,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Heroic53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21259841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Heroic40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16094945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Heroic53c399.72$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8529052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Monte47c387.28$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2619857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Heroic50c339.5$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.755,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Monte67c334.12$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2159262.2%368 W · 224 L+21.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Heroic59c330.93$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.083641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Heroic46c314.06$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2227548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62e…ae6bbacked Monte65c303.11$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.364447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Heroic49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4121246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Heroic51c296.33$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1376546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Monte46c295.71$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7156738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Monte47c290.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9414040%56 W · 84 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed Heroic42c275.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.583141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Heroic55c263.6$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.314848%71 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Monte49c248.26$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Monte47c212.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3645439.6%180 W · 274 L+1.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Monte49c211.68$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9684937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Monte75c199.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0616945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Monte47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.631,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa889…ebcdbacked Heroic51c191$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4119256.8%109 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Heroic58c185.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6933557.3%192 W · 143 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Heroic42c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.464439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Monte51c158.24$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.545655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a88…a386backed Heroic49c153.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.062227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Monte48c151.13$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1218352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Monte44c145.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.831,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Heroic54c137.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.663046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Monte43c134.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.816634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Heroic43c134$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1844748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a1…7774backed Monte45c133.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…4b6dbacked Monte44c118.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.311936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Heroic39c115.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.121,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Heroic55c111.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5296049.7%477 W · 483 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Monte53c110.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1629052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Heroic33c109.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.762,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Heroic47c105.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.44,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Heroic40c104$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8636334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Monte47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5972451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Heroic39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0961…8234backed Monte80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Heroic50c96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.421,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic53c94.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.181,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Monte46c90.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.654748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Heroic21c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4521739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Monte46c87.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.031,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Heroic46c84.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.151,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Heroic35c83.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2836434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Heroic39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Monte44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.819453.1%103 W · 91 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Heroic54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.27828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked Monte71c79.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.256045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte44c77.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.882,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Heroic39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2557935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Monte47c72.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2140050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic56c69.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.962,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Monte58c68.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2781246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Heroic33c68.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.772,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Heroic42c65.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.738552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Monte46c61.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.882,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.