CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2bbd87ecb64d16cb3ab98e8d91fa0c027dea02c584140a60572c48e55a1a49b

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Monteof Heroic, Monte
Resolved: Apr 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,378 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Heroic	57c	11,097$6,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,325.44	333	43.8%146 W · 187 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Monte	43c	4,722$2,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,691.76	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte	52c	4,163$2,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,991.21	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monte	42c	2,947$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.53	1,573	35.3%556 W · 1,017 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Heroic	58c	1,931$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.22	161	55.9%90 W · 71 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Monte	41c	1,343$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.32	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Heroic	21c	1,192$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.45	316	42.1%133 W · 183 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Heroic	39c	1,069$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.91	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Monte	43c	1,038$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.8	529	51.4%272 W · 257 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Heroic	56c	999.99$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Monte	40c	925$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Heroic	52c	786.41$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.26	318	52.8%168 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa065…b825backed Monte	76c	730.86$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.51	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.5wins	-0.49per pick	69cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Monte	64c	588.89$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	171	48%82 W · 89 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Heroic	46c	580.85$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.39	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a88…a386backed Monte	43c	561.51$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.06	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Monte	43c	561.51$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.06	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Monte	42c	552.61$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.99	635	41.9%266 W · 369 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Heroic	55c	550$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.5	576	41.1%237 W · 339 L	-21.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Monte	44c	549.09$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.49	535	45%241 W · 294 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Heroic	50c	503.24$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.86	573	58.8%337 W · 236 L	+16.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Heroic	58c	500$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	125	57.6%72 W · 53 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Heroic	47c	481.95$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.6	290	52.4%152 W · 138 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Heroic	57c	439.99$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.79	353	41.6%147 W · 206 L	-28.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Heroic	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	765	46.7%357 W · 408 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic	17c	380.29$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.44	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Monte	51c	379.66$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.61	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Monte	43c	336.93$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.05	204	33.8%69 W · 135 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Monte	43c	318.94$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.8	593	43.2%256 W · 337 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656d…e4c9backed Monte	60c	298.68$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.53	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Monte	49c	296.09$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.01	195	40%78 W · 117 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Heroic	40c	288.06$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.22	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Heroic	7c	266.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	471	46.7%220 W · 251 L	+14.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Monte	44c	256.97$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.91	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Heroic	59c	219.72$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.62	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-10.5wins	-0.26per pick	45cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Heroic	61c	204.47$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.32	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5833…235abacked Heroic	45c	204.19$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.89	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Monte	42c	200$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Monte	42c	200$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	328	44.5%146 W · 182 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Heroic	36c	198.85$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.59	449	39.2%176 W · 273 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Monte	41c	192.92$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.82	114	35.1%40 W · 74 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Heroic	58c	168.07$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.48	148	48%71 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Heroic	59c	167.69$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.28	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Monte	53c	149.09$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.52	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte	69c	134.83$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Heroic	18c	120$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	363	34.2%124 W · 239 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Heroic	15c	118.77$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	1,278	21.9%280 W · 998 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Monte	40c	115.68$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.41	331	46.5%154 W · 177 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Monte	42c	114.9$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.64	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a49…4022backed Heroic	59c	114.85$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.76	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa889…ebcdbacked Heroic	54c	100.81$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.45	192	56.8%109 W · 83 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Heroic	60c	97.6$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.56	587	62.2%365 W · 222 L	+20.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d56…52b1backed Monte	55c	97.3$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.79	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Monte	41c	90$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.1	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Monte	43c	86.87$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.52	840	37.9%318 W · 522 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Heroic	18c	71.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	644	39.8%256 W · 388 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Monte	43c	68.48$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.03	89	47.2%42 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…4b6dbacked Heroic	60c	65.07$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.04	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Heroic	61c	59.73$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.44	419	38.9%163 W · 256 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Monte	42c	57.93$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.35	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Heroic	19c	56.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd7e…d68fbacked Heroic	58c	53.46$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.01	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Heroic	66c	53.28$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	958	49.8%477 W · 481 L	-17.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Monte	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed Heroic	34c	46.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Monte	62c	43.74$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.54	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Heroic	43c	40.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	216	23.6%51 W · 165 L	-27.4wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Monte	64c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	99	64.6%64 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…830ebacked Monte	50c	38.62$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	166	64.5%107 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…71cebacked Heroic	61c	35.22$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.49	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb14d…8f95backed Monte	43c	34.34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf5…e7c3backed Heroic	60c	31.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.68	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Heroic	37c	30.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2295…8f0fbacked Heroic	35c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	422	46.2%195 W · 227 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Heroic	60c	29.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	290	52.4%152 W · 138 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda11…fa0fbacked Monte	73c	21.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.85	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Monte	54c	19.11$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsMonte won
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 3 WinnerHeroic won
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 4 WinnerMonte won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Map Handicap: HERO (-2.5) vs Monte (+2.5)Monte won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event