Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60aebfff2fafc049eb2a13111c99ebfc1d8661b1c8699f37bee5aabf8ae20397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,999.8 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 45c | 54,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 15,074$6,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,783.36 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…1227backed No | 45c | 5,821$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 3,730$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.56 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,803$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 2,661$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.56 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 1,959$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.79 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 1,599$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.74 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 45c | 1,280$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 45c | 498$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 54c | 462.11$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.71 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 45c | 432.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 45c | 406.44$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 45c | 401.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 45c | 367.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 45c | 365.47$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 45c | 365.47$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 45c | 365.47$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 45c | 362.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 45c | 362.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 45c | 362.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 45c | 362.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 45c | 362.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 45c | 362.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 45c | 362.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed No | 45c | 362.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 57c | 339.9$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 40c | 297.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 46c | 295.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 288.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed Yes | 56c | 233.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 45c | 219.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 45c | 196.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 47c | 177.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 30c | 167.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 46c | 164.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 52c | 161.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Yes | 54c | 154.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 45c | 148.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 45c | 146.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 45c | 138.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked Yes | 79c | 133.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 45c | 111.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…7020backed No | 46c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 45c | 106.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 48c | 98.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 45c | 89.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed No | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 74.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 72.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 69.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…8c25backed No | 45c | 66.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…1532backed No | 45c | 58.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 45c | 55.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 45c | 55.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 52.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 46.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 45c | 39.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…77b6backed Yes | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 56c | 35.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 53c | 35.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 55c | 35.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 48c | 32.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7f…9da6backed No | 46c | 29.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?No won
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.