Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4351454646d5ebfbc19943af4d46d5d07fced48bf1f4c004572fcb899216814b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 73c | 47,844$34,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,983.52 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 7c | 27,029$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 12,341$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.41 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 4,045$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.97 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 6c | 3,698$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 3,460$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.91 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 3,179$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.88 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 26c | 2,157$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 70c | 1,687$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 27c | 1,576$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.52 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 26c | 1,338$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 77c | 1,280$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.35 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 1,209$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 30c | 1,173$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.15 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 23c | 1,018$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 10c | 1,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 965.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 72c | 789.01$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 7c | 698.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 26c | 679.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 27c | 641.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.12 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 27c | 641.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.12 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed No | 15c | 615.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 28c | 614$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 603.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 6c | 585.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 530$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 27c | 482.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 27c | 436.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 31c | 379.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 27c | 366.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 27c | 349.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 19c | 348.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 7c | 344.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…a233backed Yes | 67c | 333$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 76c | 318.61$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 12c | 293$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 27c | 279.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 26c | 268.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 26c | 265.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 27c | 263.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 27c | 240.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 27c | 231$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked No | 27c | 225$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 28c | 212.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…b79fbacked No | 27c | 168$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed No | 27c | 166.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 74c | 166.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 76c | 162.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 20c | 157.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 149.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed No | 27c | 148.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 30c | 138.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 27c | 130.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed Yes | 77c | 117.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 77cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…8c25backed No | 27c | 111.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 26c | 107.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 26c | 96.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Yes | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 27c | 91.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 15c | 88.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 12c | 83.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 20c | 82.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…87b5backed No | 23c | 80.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 78.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed No | 32c | 78.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked No | 26c | 66.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed No | 27c | 59.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes | 69c | 56.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked No | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed No | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 31c | 53.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 27c | 52.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 24c | 52.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…78f7backed No | 27c | 49.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 28c | 47.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 29c | 46.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed No | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed Yes | 68c | 43.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 27c | 42.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed No | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.