TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9df…9a8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.43
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.84
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.31
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.19
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.03
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.35
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.12
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.55
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.81
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.62
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.95
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$14.65
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$18.77
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$18.66
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.19
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.78
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$16.55
Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Monaco vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$117.2
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$15.11
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.19
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.07
All 17 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.69
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.07
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 7 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.