Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63bef3b7c442fca702808b9b464e3086b9fb6f578bf22360da338ddb114f0f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $691,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $810,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 94,703$26,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,290.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 52c | 69,455$35,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,588.81 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 41,722$19,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,868.41 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 37c | 35,200$12,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,987.02 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 48c | 23,744$11,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,456.74 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 23,535$7,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,807.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 16,308$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 16,098$8,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,272.93 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 49c | 14,679$7,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,192.71 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…fb65backed Yes | 57c | 12,989$7,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.19 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 14c | 10,315$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.13 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 10,153$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.59 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 51c | 9,790$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 50c | 9,621$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.56 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 2c | 9,245$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 56c | 8,924$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.93 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 8,776$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 49c | 8,245$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.94 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 51c | 7,909$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.59 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 6,571$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.33 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…b995backed Yes | 55c | 6,400$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 48c | 6,158$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.57 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 48c | 5,921$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.64 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 56c | 5,643$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.03 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 48c | 5,561$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.21 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Yes | 53c | 5,287$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Yes | 50c | 5,211$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.69 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 5,193$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 54c | 4,067$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.04 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.43 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 45c | 3,471$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.95 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,454$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.26 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 49c | 3,410$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 30c | 3,314$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.5 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 51c | 2,925$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…4d2abacked No | 47c | 2,814$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,706$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.9 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 52c | 2,563$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 54c | 2,500$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.93 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 47c | 2,347$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.09 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 50c | 2,305$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Yes | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 1c | 2,270$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 76c | 2,188$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.57 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 2,168$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.27 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…5315backed Yes | 55c | 2,153$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 44c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.68 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 52c | 1,987$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 7c | 1,975$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 44c | 1,966$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.71 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 56c | 1,933$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.33 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 55c | 1,753$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.32 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…b3bcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 56c | 1,580$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 57c | 1,539$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 70c | 1,508$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.49 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 67c | 1,462$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.05 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,237$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,153$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…ae21backed Yes | 50c | 1,114$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…71c2backed No | 3c | 1,065$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 47c | 1,035$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,028$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 46c | 997.83$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 54c | 982$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…3902backed No | 47c | 935$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 54c | 919.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 45c | 914.1$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 55c | 909.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.33 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…05f7backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 71c | 900$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 53c | 766.04$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked No | 2c | 694.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked No | 32c | 677.63$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Yes | 54c | 667.96$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.26 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 53c | 653.03$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.77 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 47c | 652.57$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.06 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…88d4backed Yes | 51c | 621.78$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed Yes | 54c | 618$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 49c | 613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.