Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dd9d9410f8d73a020964ba21a016d165dff33df6bec23a6a8ee7feceac886a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 26c | 38,285$9,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,954.04 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 25c | 16,658$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.52 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 16,597$12,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.07 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 15,084$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.88 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 11,533$8,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,123$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 5,918$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.69 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 5,200$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.98 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +297%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 77c | 4,910$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,025$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.1 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.97 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 3,939$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 3,802$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…ac93backed Yes | 1c | 3,092$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 3,084$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.37 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 73c | 2,987$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.48 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 27c | 2,978$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.74 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 2,468$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 26c | 2,222$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 2,123$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.83 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 24c | 1,875$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,805$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 73c | 1,369$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.72 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 77c | 1,340$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.36 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,262$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 1,061$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 74c | 1,019$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.86 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59e…29babacked Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 23c | 865.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 74c | 702$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 75c | 645.49$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 24c | 466.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…5379backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 22c | 409$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 76c | 400$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…b4dcbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed No | 79c | 372.25$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 367.12$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 8c | 366$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 75c | 346.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 74c | 331.08$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 74c | 320.28$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 76c | 319.71$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 23c | 313.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed No | 78c | 301.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 73c | 300.54$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 5c | 296.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 24c | 256.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 23c | 202.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 77c | 197.27$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…273bbacked Yes | 23c | 179$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 23c | 176$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 26c | 147.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Yes | 19c | 144.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed Yes | 18c | 141.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 74c | 141.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…e2d6backed Yes | 23c | 134.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 23c | 131.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 77c | 129.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…750fbacked No | 76c | 128.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 127.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 22c | 125$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…eb89backed Yes | 25c | 123.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 73c | 111.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 23c | 107$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 78c | 103.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…e761backed Yes | 24c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…8c13backed No | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…71c2backed Yes | 11c | 92.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…72f1backed Yes | 23c | 92.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…694cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23a9…64f3backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed No | 77c | 85.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.