TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9926…8c13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$69.6
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$363.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$29.94
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$89.03
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$247.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200.34
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,610Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$5,178.78
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.3%+$114.97
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$42.31
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.7%+$38.51
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+93.2%+$76.05
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37.6%+$112.22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,896Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,896.06
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$139.07
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.7%+$174.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$377
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$420
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.