TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over59c68,138$40,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,020.0516040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c35,621$16,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,327.446,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over59c21,187$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,500.165345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under41c15,727$6,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,279.0428242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c12,230$5,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,195.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under41c10,496$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,208.682,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9509272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under42c4,800$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7861,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over60c4,500$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7009055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under41c4,146$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.341330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.967251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c2,640$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.192,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over23c2,471$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.676445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under41c2,222$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.952665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.982055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under41c1,951$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.0912949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over54c1,841$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.46041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over61c1,237$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over59c1,152$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.929053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under39c768.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.074445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4136959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over59c688$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9214166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under41c630.46$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9732037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over58c603.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under42c602.38$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35423258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under63c536$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c506.63$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.881,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under41c450$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over60c450$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under41c446$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under41c431$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2925348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under41c426.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8317053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over42c400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16619235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23639948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over58c379.31$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under42c360$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.819357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under42c345.35$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3111450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17735056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17759958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17760557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17717337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over28c271.18$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.932,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfd2…d439backed Over60c258.33$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.51,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.17958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under50c219.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0513550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over60c208.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under40c205$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under45c199.2$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.574663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under42c195.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1736554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over58c179.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3919145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under44c179.09$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c176.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7616731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under51c175.3$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3413152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1d…5a7cbacked Under41c134.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-53.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under56c129.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2516357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Under60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under42c120.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.838358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.831557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.832158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a5…cb74backed Over60c118.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.