AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f6eee358dae34193bec189bc2466b76b33756cc150352bed2f11e3488fafec7

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,045 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over	38c	32,775$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,500	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	62c	15,333$9,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,874.55	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	63c	12,255$7,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,560.66	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	62c	3,750$2,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,430.4	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under	64c	3,088$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.68	141	66.7%94 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Over	38c	2,999$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.78	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	22c	2,644$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.72	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	11c	2,198$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.52	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	37c	2,000$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.98	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	38c	1,917$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.84	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Under	63c	1,584$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.01	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over	38c	1,126$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	36c	1,019$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.84	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	38c	999.99$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	15c	845$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.75	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	62c	788.9$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.28	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over	30c	728$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.4	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over	37c	706$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.22	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over	11c	597$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.67	117	27.4%32 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under	64c	557.69$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.77	253	48.2%122 W · 131 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over	11c	550.12$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.11	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	37c	540.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+39%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	61c	500$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	67c	446.84$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.7	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under	64c	445.49$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.38	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Under	64c	306.75$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.43	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	60cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	68c	241.14$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.35	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	68c	228.82$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.59	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Over	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	63c	200.41$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.15	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	24c	200$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over	12c	184.07$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.32	100	44%44 W · 56 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under	61c	169.97$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.59	207	63.8%132 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	36c	162$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.32	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over	12c	158.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	59	27.1%16 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	228	32.9%75 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	263	44.9%118 W · 145 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over	38c	128.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.71	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-5.1wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under	64c	114.03$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.05	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	208	19.2%40 W · 168 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Under	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1adb…f12abacked Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Over	39c	98.17$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	62c	97.69$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.08	298	55%164 W · 134 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	38c	94.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	145	51.7%75 W · 70 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over	37c	81.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	39c	64.47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under	64c	57.02$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.53	76	63.2%48 W · 28 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Over	37c	56$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under	61c	49.99$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.3	189	63%119 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e00…9a9bbacked Over	37c	49.35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under	63c	48.2$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.83	160	60%96 W · 64 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over	37c	41.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.26	122	36.1%44 W · 78 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	39c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Over	39c	38.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over	34c	35.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under	64c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.95	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc2…c103backed Over	37c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under	62c	24.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	155	58.1%90 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2909…c95cbacked Under	63c	23.81$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Under	62c	23.66$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x269f…c358backed Under	64c	22.8$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.21	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Under	63c	19.05$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Under	68c	18.95$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.08	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under	64c	18.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.54	84	63.1%53 W · 31 L	+10.8wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Under	75c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.79	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under	70c	14.92$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.48	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-4.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5this page
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Under won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event