AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75df1fa35efba4a74516d4ec016d445af21f1d622cb070be8c3fae2da959ed5a

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,968 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	41c	15,269$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,069.47	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	18c	2,972$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,448.77	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	66c	2,439$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,609.74	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf131…69cabacked Over	71c	2,216$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,577.02	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over	28c	1,500$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under	19c	1,000$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over	40c	999.99$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.99	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under	19c	950.26$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.71	117	27.4%32 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	41c	850.49$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	58c	839.97$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.38	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over	48c	825.71$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	17c	599.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	36c	583.33$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	437.89$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.48	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.3wins	-0.33per pick	43cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	18c	400$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	51c	398.7$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.12	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	78c	384.89$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.89	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc99f…43c5backed Over	78c	384.42$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.85	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	69c	366.67$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	13c	364.79$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.42	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over	59c	350.85$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over	73c	349.95$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.79	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over	40c	324.54$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	109	39.4%43 W · 66 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over	53c	298.89$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.48	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over	41c	243.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.7	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	+37%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	74c	202.7$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over	49c	198.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.47	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	62cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.33per pick	70cpaid	-48%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under	33c	161.11$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.41	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	51c	147.52$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.89	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over	34c	147.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	56c	143$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.67	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	18c	120.35$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.68	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	25c	119.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	208	19.2%40 W · 168 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	110	19.1%21 W · 89 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over	31c	95.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	161	42.9%69 W · 92 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	47c	93.19$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over	56c	90$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	41c	88.02$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.95	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	51c	80.39$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	134	39.6%53 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	63c	79.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	-11.2wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over	59c	76.27$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Over	41c	73.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over	68c	66.18$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over	60c	65$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under	18c	56$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.92	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	38c	52.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over	58c	52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.16	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf0…82b4backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…c35dbacked Over	30c	43.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over	59c	38.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	71cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	41c	35.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	71cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	44c	30.88$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over	57c	30.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1598…e2b6backed Over	62c	30.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over	59c	26.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Over	55c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over	73c	20.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	-16.7wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Under	72c	15.63$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.37	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5this page
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event