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Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under40c85,596$33,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,979.915349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over60c39,560$23,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,82493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c15,041$9,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,865.532,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over61c9,298$5,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,657.4799944.7%447 W · 552 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over61c6,815$4,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64316046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c6,702$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.322,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under38c5,593$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.453663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under38c5,448$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.1622348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over62c4,839$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.823464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60021258.5%124 W · 88 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5602171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over62c1,728$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.944866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2493…d529backed Over62c1,612$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under38c1,500$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.2640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc900…4557backed Over62c1,444$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd29…a74abacked Over61c1,088$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.21560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over60c1,083$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3333357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over63c1,066$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.474969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.672050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under26c729.67$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8828931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Over60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Over62c564.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.522948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Over61c548.8$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1957657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.875242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under27c475.91$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.596028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over62c403.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.61471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over61c360.66$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6610259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over68c347.75$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7591243.3%395 W · 517 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3315459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over61c328.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.618052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Under26c328.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5821650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf68…6b13backed Under4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Over72c270$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.42962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over60c252.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under40c250.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.149350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over61c238$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x50b6…d364backed Over61c201.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over62c196.84$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aac…4e55backed Over62c193.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6847442.8%203 W · 271 L-1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over60c166.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6633144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe86…9b6bbacked Over61c164.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.791662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over61c163.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.171675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85e…1fc8backed Over62c161.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2934853.7%187 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1172…9b72backed Over62c158.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.291369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5728556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over60c146.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.671250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Over62c146.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over62c135$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.325556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fb…66b2backed Over60c130.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under39c125.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0721251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over62c115$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.716851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over62c112$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5613550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbda…f10fbacked Under39c111.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over60c101.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395464.8%35 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4026747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe473…755abacked Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc22…b893backed Over61c91.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.211655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.212253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Over59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.851764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9926…8c13backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d04…e037backed Over62c81.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c80.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9467553.8%363 W · 312 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.247447.9%227 W · 247 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under18c79.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.493324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under38c75.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8440847.1%192 W · 216 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6a…0665backed Under40c75.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.256145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f5…a64fbacked Over61c73.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over62c67.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.572365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over61c65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over61c60.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.693161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.811551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.812453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.810952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.812754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.811953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece6…2854backed Under39c55.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under40c52.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.133351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.