TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c21,263$15,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,561.922,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over15c7,401$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,290.899952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over15c6,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.993636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over15c6,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+163.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over44c4,999$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.667358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under60c4,818$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.611741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c1,665$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.0193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over15c1,500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over15c1,466$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.54445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,450$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over16c1,250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over39c982.94$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.8849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c955.63$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over44c914.1$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.769154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa686…19e0backed Over16c900$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7562450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over32c895.77$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over33c869.66$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.273565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over17c835.29$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.295242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over43c577.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.222050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under5c560$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over16c540$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.63732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over47c523.13$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.821650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe306…0380backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over40c496.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over44c454.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.773663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over16c375$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3158744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over30c355$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.062176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Over33c300.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16815042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+275%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over35c284.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9713142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over26c276.04$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1418055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over43c263.14$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.443357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over44c259.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.323638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over30c253$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9614549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over38c240.63$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6338739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over30c240$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.68357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+61.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over16c231.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6810330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Over39c230.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.652245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2719353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under67c221.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.722969%20 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over30c220$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64c2…8a33backed Over36c184.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.81944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over15c183.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.894751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over28c178.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.361776.5%13 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over43c173.14$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over28c172$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.84633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over44c161.36$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.361172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.064551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over31c141.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.862152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over46c128.26$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.263847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c121.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over40c119.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7217538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2817958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Under58c110.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.35364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over46c107.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.84858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Over43c102.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Over15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85365.6%2 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over24c99.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.974524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Over45c95.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.561947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Over43c92.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.331936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over33c87.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.176956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over17c79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over17c72.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.113351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6714351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over44c63.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.382445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.211460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over41c59.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.434553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over47c57.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4511955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over35c55.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5213350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over33c55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.139661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2817058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a93…390cbacked Over32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Over33c49.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.08560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over30c47.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.491770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+99%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over43c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.793956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over39c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.459440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over43c43.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.052433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under74c42.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.524955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over35c42.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.633070%21 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d3…426ebacked Under69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x396c…f8aabacked Over28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82c8…73d1backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.