TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under66c72,257$47,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,756.535349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c17,846$7,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,036.852,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over34c15,000$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,95016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over33c13,465$4,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,070.8198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under67c12,537$8,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,397.333562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c12,481$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,015.591,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over33c12,123$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,122.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over33c7,995$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,356.6540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over61c4,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under67c4,685$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.069952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Under43c4,615$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under67c4,287$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.0245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over33c4,138$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under66c4,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6403243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.97560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under68c3,162$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1507358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over34c3,087$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.32842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Over71c1,869$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.875459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c1,787$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over49c1,719$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.082254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over70c1,531$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.984969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.967255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under40c1,499$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Over33c1,457$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+148.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over32c1,209$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.1636630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over33c1,140$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.5640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over34c1,088$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.636028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.38560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over65c942.15$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over33c886.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Over33c812.12$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over33c611.34$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0611429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over33c601.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.799054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.245242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.431060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over57c530$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.852176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over64c462.68$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.941872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1813946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.181050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over33c399.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over33c399.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.99837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over67c396.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.013571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.638957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over60c375.67$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8819353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over32c312.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4833144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Under32c308.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.751618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over63c303$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.858357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over64c274$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83be…4a50backed Over50c235.94$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over34c235.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.293740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under67c230$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over67c230$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.94866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over34c226.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.476241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over73c224.66$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.662576%19 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over52c222.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over61c221.31$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.318065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under68c219.12$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over32c216$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over48c208.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5916526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under10c207$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6514936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over43c206.16$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8228931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under31c203$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c200.76$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Over57c196.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Over33c196.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over32c184$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f17…f53abacked Over39c183.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over59c183.13$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ae…19fdbacked Under55c182.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.828744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4415648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over67c175$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7514549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over34c161.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.764551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over62c161.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.363847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over32c157$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.764231%13 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5212232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.524362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x96e4…29debacked Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.524858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.524845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over68c148.69$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over60c148.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.89955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over32c144$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9211655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.