Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38b3a05e49d13b7f456c8761bcf4d71480c1e0905c4ed75b87caea9f67a58f1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed DRX | 49c | 5,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.1 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DRX | 1c | 3,707$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Dplus KIA | 51c | 3,388$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.41 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA | 55c | 2,508$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.76 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DRX | 44c | 1,785$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.8 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 1,447$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.79 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 1,260$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.22 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 1,188$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.52 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 919.21$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.61 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed DRX | 48c | 903.09$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed DRX | 44c | 723.79$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.47 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DRX | 46c | 699.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Dplus KIA | 55c | 633.31$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed DRX | 50c | 543.1$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Dplus KIA | 57c | 441.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DRX | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…43acbacked Dplus KIA | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Dplus KIA | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Dplus KIA | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Dplus KIA | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 254.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed DRX | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Dplus KIA | 54c | 227.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 205.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed DRX | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Dplus KIA | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 181 | 61.3%111 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked DRX | 50c | 162.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked DRX | 47c | 116$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Dplus KIA | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked DRX | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked DRX | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DRX | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked DRX | 44c | 68.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked DRX | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 45.8%103 W · 122 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked DRX | 46c | 63.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Dplus KIA | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…8c13backed Dplus KIA | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed DRX | 45c | 53.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DRX | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed DRX | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Dplus KIA | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Dplus KIA | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Dplus KIA | 54c | 34.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed DRX | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked Dplus KIA | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…bd1cbacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-InDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.