UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc2e6c31719439943b3c21bd6b04f4ee0f5ca748b6f9b801307259034be05f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Congof Cong, Moura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Moura | 25c | 25,186$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,296.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Cong | 75c | 25,000$18,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Moura | 46c | 24,914$11,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,490.63 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Moura | 26c | 19,538$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Cong | 74c | 18,000$13,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cong | 75c | 11,132$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.81 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Moura | 26c | 10,125$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.5 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Moura | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Moura | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cong | 74c | 9,268$6,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.96 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cong | 64c | 8,124$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.13 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Cong | 74c | 6,963$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.27 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cong | 75c | 6,290$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.45 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Cong | 73c | 6,120$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.38 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Cong | 50c | 5,706$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Moura | 24c | 5,476$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.25 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cong | 52c | 5,209$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.89 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Moura | 25c | 5,066$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.5 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Moura | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Moura | 25c | 4,100$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Cong | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Moura | 50c | 3,372$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Moura | 29c | 3,183$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.72 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Cong | 50c | 3,093$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.54 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Moura | 27c | 3,050$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Moura | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Moura | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Cong | 76c | 2,974$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.9 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cong | 75c | 2,800$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.45 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cong | 74c | 2,744$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.38 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Cong | 75c | 2,682$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.81 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cong | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Moura | 1c | 2,594$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Cong | 76c | 2,541$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Moura | 24c | 2,434$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.2 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Moura | 25c | 2,419$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.79 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Cong | 56c | 2,275$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.81 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cong | 57c | 2,271$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.46 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Moura | 46c | 2,142$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.59 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Cong | 75c | 2,074$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.24 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Cong | 50c | 1,906$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Cong | 75c | 1,624$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Moura | 25c | 1,530$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.87 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Moura | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Moura | 24c | 1,083$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.1 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Moura | 25c | 1,041$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cong | 55c | 1,035$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.09 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Moura | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Cong | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Cong | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Moura | 45c | 995.6$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cong | 50c | 990.48$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.65 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…a6d8backed Moura | 27c | 962.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Cong | 75c | 916.41$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Cong | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Moura | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cong | 55c | 868.07$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.48 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Cong | 75c | 813.33$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Cong | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Moura | 26c | 784$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Cong | 75c | 768$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Cong | 67c | 713.85$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Cong | 74c | 676$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Cong | 72c | 668.97$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Moura | 25c | 606.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Cong | 75c | 605.52$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Moura | 24c | 571.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Moura | 29c | 548.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Moura | 24c | 520.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Moura | 26c | 506.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…02d0backed Moura | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Moura | 58c | 479.16$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.12 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Moura | 24c | 471.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Cong | 74c | 445$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Moura | 24c | 418$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Moura | 25c | 404$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Cong | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Cong | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Moura | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Moura | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…4ce6backed Moura | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Cong | 75c | 362.72$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Moura | 28c | 357.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Moura | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Cong | 76c | 295.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cong | 75c | 289.18$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…5f46backed Moura | 27c | 281.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Moura | 25c | 276$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Moura | 26c | 270.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Moura | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Cong | 75c | 214.47$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Moura | 24c | 211$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…eecebacked Moura | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Cong | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…478ebacked Cong | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Moura | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Cong | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Cong | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cong | 75c | 199.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Moura | 26c | 197.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Wang Cong win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.