TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$900,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$933,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf208…fa74backed No46c205,980$94,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,451.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No44c152,211$66,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,814.9619253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No69c82,290$56,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,900.4735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c60,257$32,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,712.36,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes56c53,773$30,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,112.683644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c49,281$26,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,923.92,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes57c49,139$28,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,009.236142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c32,450$18,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,083.71,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No39c26,422$10,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,057.9120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes54c25,894$14,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,039.22,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71fe…70b0backed No43c21,551$9,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,197.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c20,737$11,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,126.622,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No43c18,886$8,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,765.0210057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No43c18,000$7,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,319.9615748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Yes57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes56c14,945$8,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,369.210246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes55c13,000$7,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0901,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c12,564$6,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,873.0885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No42c12,000$5,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,909.9124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c11,893$6,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,835.661,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes54c11,111$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0009746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes57c10,730$6,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,116.121253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes55c8,070$4,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,461.9925544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked No46c7,752$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.71650%8 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes53c6,581$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.488537.6%32 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes57c6,421$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.6720246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes55c6,161$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.3945751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No43c5,500$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.8713444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes46c5,400$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.963941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes54c5,020$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.544161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No43c5,000$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.076240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c4,873$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.524,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes58c4,762$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.92540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…d5dbbacked No43c4,729$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes56c4,589$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.9919239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.452268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes54c4,431$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.5841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed No42c4,232$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes57c4,009$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.1812454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.8245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes55c3,647$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.821049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.349350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes57c3,479$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c3,354$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.161,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes46c3,281$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2196…da90backed Yes54c3,125$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes57c2,838$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+109.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No42c2,545$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.268153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40015952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed No43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+68.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No42c2,409$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.181526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes53c2,380$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.8577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No44c2,300$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2885044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes44c2,298$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes53c2,077$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.052951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes56c2,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.47per pick62cpaid-79.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes48c1,915$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.3216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73b…9766backed Yes58c1,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0441758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…ba1ebacked Yes57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb713…9126backed Yes53c1,715$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No30c1,700$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.388062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes51c1,618$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.637227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4fc3…a1b0backed Yes57c1,600$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes57c1,561$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8904052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes55c1,500$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.591,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes33c1,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes63c1,462$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.32650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes53c1,456$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.1325052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes45c1,234$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes57c1,228$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes56c1,206$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.366737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes54c1,180$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.777035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes9c1,121$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1124047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes60c1,070$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.059446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes53c1,020$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.682626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes55c1,010$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes56c1,000$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5659756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5703253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c1a…40b4backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x644e…510fbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No43c999.92$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cc9…7fe4backed Yes57c963.4$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes2c962.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.822040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c1…7b5cbacked Yes57c950$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c938$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.381,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.