TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No75c7,327$5,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,495.2512847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes29c5,140$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,671.51650%8 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No7c4,588$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No9c3,942$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No73c3,928$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.4410341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No5c3,597$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c3,244$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c3,059$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.164,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No72c2,455$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c2,310$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.682,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c2,197$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.031,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No75c1,812$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1256437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1256829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes34c1,465$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.714367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes26c1,158$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.4310234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No34c1,098$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No76c1,066$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.1613565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No74c752.91$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.159358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes25c719.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.962420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes73c682.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes47c625.14$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.251,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No52c619.21$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9918444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No75c562.04$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.537448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3702846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No47c420$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7425530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c401.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.862,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c399.98$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes26c390$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.611223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes25c342$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.510246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes25c315$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2518124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No76c304.16$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9420246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-87.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22532453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22524630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c273.3$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.122,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b5…8ccfbacked Yes50c252.15$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes25c242$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.510846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No31c225$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6961441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No52c220$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3311343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No12c202$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c200$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2426548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeba…f7d9backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes25c143$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.253839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No22c142.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.873258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed No76c130$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.86360.3%38 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No73c123.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7127454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed No37c121.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.022326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No11c112.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.746741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa30f…b10ebacked Yes26c110$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7445224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7527227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No74c99.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.994753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe1…30c6backed Yes53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No75c89.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2522961.6%141 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No75c89.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.059555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…237dbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9216142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes25c76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No75c75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2511768.4%80 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.751,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8869…b014backed Yes25c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+254.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb21d…4aadbacked Yes26c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+330.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes24c69.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1912241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d3b…f5d4backed Yes26c69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+181.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa615…0344backed Yes26c68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3075…b6a6backed Yes25c62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+221%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…06fdbacked Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+345.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes26c59.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0611636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5862…aeaebacked Yes25c58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c1…7d39backed Yes25c58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No75c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2511965.5%78 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6382…e321backed Yes26c53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.59460.6%57 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.512639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.520958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.522658.8%133 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.513531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.540157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.55255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bca…af80backed Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d8…3d22backed Yes25c49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+169.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff07…3822backed Yes25c46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.