Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f9c86c99528cf23b2bf7ea2b9ca1f3c2f5afd6d3af96abc444c5359d7df8b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Over | 49c | 1,680$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Under | 51c | 1,680$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 46c | 1,147$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.16 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 799.98$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 46c | 754.35$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 51c | 378$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Over | 54c | 370.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…f934backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 54c | 231.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Over | 50c | 223.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…9ee8backed Over | 56c | 162.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17c…501fbacked Over | 54c | 160.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…8c13backed Over | 52c | 157.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…f1b7backed Over | 53c | 131.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 48c | 128.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…5c72backed Over | 51c | 128$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Over | 53c | 125.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 55c | 120.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 46c | 117.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…ef00backed Over | 55c | 110.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Under | 43c | 109.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Over | 75c | 92.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 55c | 90.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe124…9d4ebacked Over | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 64c | 73.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Over | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 18c | 67.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 36c | 48.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 37c | 47.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Over | 56c | 44.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 46c | 42.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…010bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Over | 55c | 38.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…e373backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 35.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…41eebacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…14b5backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…8e5cbacked Over | 55c | 23.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…ab4abacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Anyone's Legend won
- First Blood in Game 3?Anyone's Legend won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.