TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2cd…010b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2931%9 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.36
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.51
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$50.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.91
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.17
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.8%+$45.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.32
LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.63
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35.84
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.28
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+317.1%+$155.69
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+276%+$88.09
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.37
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.86
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Tricked (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.56
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$24.46
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.53
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$20.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.26
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+171.1%+$20.53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.76
Counter-Strike: Washington vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+102.6%+$26.93
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$13.76
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.2%+$33.32
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+52.4%+$14.15
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Shadows - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs OlyBet SB (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+83.3%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Prestige (BO3)backed Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.57
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.2%+$13.48
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Tearlaments (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja (BO5)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.4
Dota 2: Veroja vs Ivory (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.