Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb25635c05b2d3694a7d40de830c8e73e2691125d112e56df7e1ec3e45bdda877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Over | 55c | 3,297$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.84 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Over | 49c | 1,602$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.97 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.79 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 1,090$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.01 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 51c | 1,012$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.79 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 54c | 739.74$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.28 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 53c | 709.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.69 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…e6abbacked Over | 49c | 409.27$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Over | 48c | 345.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 54c | 313.16$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…f934backed Over | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Over | 63c | 301$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…a36abacked Under | 36c | 243.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 47c | 240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…8b3ebacked Over | 64c | 194.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…b5f4backed Over | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 52c | 138.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 53c | 135.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Under | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 45c | 120.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Over | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…05aebacked Under | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 44c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Under | 36c | 89.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 48c | 86.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 46c | 81.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 23c | 76.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 46c | 70.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Under | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…515cbacked Over | 64c | 48.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Over | 49c | 45.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…a3fcbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…f02ebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Under | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…010bbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Under | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 62c | 26.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.