Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f827394d19d96f81b03956b10cf7a095233ebaddd90e865e8b10e97d7a5d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof JD Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed JD Gaming | 42c | 26,484$11,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,123.28 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Top Esports | 58c | 24,758$14,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,397.54 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…29a2backed Top Esports | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked JD Gaming | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Top Esports | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed JD Gaming | 39c | 999.64$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.06 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked JD Gaming | 41c | 923$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.43 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked JD Gaming | 43c | 771.39$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…360bbacked Top Esports | 61c | 753.16$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JD Gaming | 41c | 609.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Top Esports | 59c | 512.14$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Top Esports | 60c | 499.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.39 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed JD Gaming | 43c | 496.47$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed JD Gaming | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed JD Gaming | 41c | 471.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed JD Gaming | 43c | 389.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed JD Gaming | 43c | 346$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed JD Gaming | 41c | 279.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Top Esports | 59c | 279.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Top Esports | 59c | 255.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…3d76backed JD Gaming | 8c | 255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 8cpaid | +792.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed JD Gaming | 42c | 227.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Top Esports | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Top Esports | 62c | 192.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…b5f4backed JD Gaming | 42c | 185$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Top Esports | 60c | 167.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed JD Gaming | 39c | 131.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked JD Gaming | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed JD Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed JD Gaming | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed JD Gaming | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Top Esports | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed Top Esports | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Top Esports | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 112 | 67.9%76 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…6d09backed JD Gaming | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Top Esports | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed JD Gaming | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Top Esports | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Top Esports | 60c | 42.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Top Esports | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Top Esports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Top Esports | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed JD Gaming | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed JD Gaming | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…0671backed Top Esports | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…e6cabacked Top Esports | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Top Esports | 61c | 25.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.