CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs OlyBet SB (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf327608cabab8f04b726c8f05e1eca5676f0edd968f3c488ab359a7ce226469b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OlyBet SBof AaB esport, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.96 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…861fbacked OlyBet SB | 58c | 5,831$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked AaB esport | 60c | 3,583$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AaB esport | 45c | 2,968$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.26 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…4e12backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 2,696$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…b384backed AaB esport | 59c | 2,134$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…bfa5backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 2,046$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked AaB esport | 60c | 1,789$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.52 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OlyBet SB | 41c | 1,787$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.71 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14febacked OlyBet SB | 41c | 1,440$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked AaB esport | 60c | 1,400$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.84 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…0268backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 1,367$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…db0dbacked AaB esport | 59c | 1,325$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…9913backed AaB esport | 59c | 1,131$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked AaB esport | 60c | 1,128$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.96 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed AaB esport | 60c | 1,070$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed AaB esport | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed OlyBet SB | 34c | 874$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.25 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed AaB esport | 58c | 860.87$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AaB esport | 4c | 849.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…abcebacked AaB esport | 59c | 777$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…7d14backed AaB esport | 59c | 720$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked AaB esport | 60c | 700$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…94abbacked OlyBet SB | 43c | 650$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed AaB esport | 54c | 642.67$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.87 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked AaB esport | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…42cbbacked OlyBet SB | 41c | 575$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…26b2backed AaB esport | 59c | 562$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked AaB esport | 60c | 535.32$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.19 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked AaB esport | 60c | 483.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…d210backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 459$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +207.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed AaB esport | 57c | 413$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed AaB esport | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed AaB esport | 53c | 333$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…7a48backed AaB esport | 59c | 319$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…e4fdbacked AaB esport | 59c | 309$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed AaB esport | 60c | 278.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked AaB esport | 55c | 271.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e10…b8d4backed AaB esport | 66c | 269.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…9e13backed AaB esport | 59c | 256$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2a82backed AaB esport | 57c | 237$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…106ebacked AaB esport | 59c | 236$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…c3e0backed AaB esport | 59c | 223$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…c09ebacked AaB esport | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 175.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 150.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked AaB esport | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked AaB esport | 60c | 134.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed AaB esport | 52c | 114.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked AaB esport | 78c | 113.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed OlyBet SB | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked OlyBet SB | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OlyBet SB | 44c | 93.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked OlyBet SB | 48c | 92.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 91.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked AaB esport | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed AaB esport | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked AaB esport | 67c | 68.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…4572backed AaB esport | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…dcc0backed AaB esport | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked AaB esport | 65c | 63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…aad2backed OlyBet SB | 69c | 59.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked AaB esport | 27c | 55.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…478ebacked AaB esport | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked OlyBet SB | 47c | 44.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…45c4backed AaB esport | 51c | 42.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed OlyBet SB | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked AaB esport | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked AaB esport | 52c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked AaB esport | 47c | 36.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed OlyBet SB | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…d906backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed AaB esport | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330e…c22abacked AaB esport | 60c | 29.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…19bebacked OlyBet SB | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed AaB esport | 75c | 22.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…010bbacked AaB esport | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs OlyBet SB (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 WinnerAaB esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.