TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x237b…dcc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST4240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.23
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$24.07
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Kings vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$341.11
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$336.27
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+141.9%+$346.16
Avalanche vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$152.54
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$420.42
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$135.1
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$110.7
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$133
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.26
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.93
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$310.83
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$717.1
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$215.1
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150.3
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+47.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+1,150%+$574.99
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$97.35
Counter-Strike: japczany vs 777 (BO3)backed japczany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MOUZ NXT (BO3)backed ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs OlyBet SB (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs FriendlyCampers (BO3)backed FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54.04
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.2
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Marsborne (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$61.36
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+209%+$288.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.26
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+60.3%+$60.74
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.6%+$23.78
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+28.9%+$14.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+107.1%+$12.84
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$223.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.