CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs FriendlyCampers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ba08db2b0fa0859afe74c2e723c655b000509179fb63b5bae2708144562017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, FriendlyCampers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 10,000$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.4 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FriendlyCampers | 55c | 3,082$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.7 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FriendlyCampers | 56c | 2,366$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.15 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked FriendlyCampers | 55c | 1,985$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed FriendlyCampers | 55c | 1,632$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.09 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…5b8cbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 1,618$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…fdbbbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 1,205$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed FriendlyCampers | 64c | 1,200$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…69a5backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 1,148$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FriendlyCampers | 5c | 1,127$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…5eeebacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 911$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…94abbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 903$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87f…43a5backed FriendlyCampers | 62c | 897$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked FriendlyCampers | 57c | 886.78$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3152backed FriendlyCampers | 62c | 865$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 755.31$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.51 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…0cbfbacked FriendlyCampers | 62c | 753$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 725.01$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.04 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…26b2backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 678$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…900cbacked FriendlyCampers | 62c | 652$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked FriendlyCampers | 55c | 600$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…c961backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 561$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…b7cfbacked FriendlyCampers | 54c | 544$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FriendlyCampers | 37c | 529.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…7b5cbacked FriendlyCampers | 62c | 496$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…16a7backed FriendlyCampers | 62c | 458$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…12d2backed FriendlyCampers | 62c | 453$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…567dbacked FriendlyCampers | 54c | 452$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed FriendlyCampers | 55c | 383.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…ef4ebacked FriendlyCampers | 54c | 359$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac0…0207backed FriendlyCampers | 62c | 308$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed FriendlyCampers | 62c | 290$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…0312backed FriendlyCampers | 62c | 271$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 246.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked FriendlyCampers | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed FriendlyCampers | 56c | 237.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FriendlyCampers | 54c | 233.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 213.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed FriendlyCampers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e10…b8d4backed MOUZ NXT | 69c | 191.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…dcc0backed FriendlyCampers | 29c | 186.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed FriendlyCampers | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked MOUZ NXT | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 137.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked FriendlyCampers | 55c | 134.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…6ab1backed FriendlyCampers | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…c2cbbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…85cebacked FriendlyCampers | 54c | 126$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed FriendlyCampers | 13c | 115.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 87.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked FriendlyCampers | 57c | 81.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked FriendlyCampers | 54c | 77.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…dfe7backed FriendlyCampers | 70c | 77.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed MOUZ NXT | 71c | 70.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…bb7abacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…b4ffbacked FriendlyCampers | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed MOUZ NXT | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 59.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed FriendlyCampers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed FriendlyCampers | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 48.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FriendlyCampers | 29c | 39.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…50ddbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 34.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed MOUZ NXT | 77c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs FriendlyCampers (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs FriendlyCampers - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs FriendlyCampers - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.