TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb673…e574

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WATERMELON (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Abacked WATERMELON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+481.7%+$52.81
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$41.99
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO5) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.31
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Playoffsbacked kONO.ECF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
Counter-Strike: 33 vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+579.1%+$90.25
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.37
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+410.2%+$200.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3)backed los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+525%+$167.97
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)backed 777 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Ivory vs Veroja (BO5)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+330.7%+$483.04
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.