CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f0cdb596717599e00db347e4e7fb9f6eea99e3f647f2b95072f090ac04d0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Fingers Crossed
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Fingers Crossed | 28c | 4,023$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.35 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.1 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Fingers Crossed | 33c | 2,700$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.99 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 1,273$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 1,076$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.78 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fingers Crossed | 38c | 870.39$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.07 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…cf54backed Fingers Crossed | 36c | 776.71$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Fingers Crossed | 37c | 541.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 468.75$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Inner Circle Esports | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 67c | 367$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.11 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Inner Circle Esports | 70c | 334$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Fingers Crossed | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Fingers Crossed | 29c | 313.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Inner Circle Esports | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 70c | 262.85$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Fingers Crossed | 31c | 210.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Inner Circle Esports | 62c | 207.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 207.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fingers Crossed | 32c | 156.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…32dfbacked Inner Circle Esports | 70c | 141.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Fingers Crossed | 10c | 115.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Inner Circle Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed Fingers Crossed | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Inner Circle Esports | 66c | 66.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Fingers Crossed | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Fingers Crossed | 30c | 58.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 66c | 55.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Fingers Crossed | 30c | 46.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Inner Circle Esports | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…3803backed Fingers Crossed | 48c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…7f8ebacked Fingers Crossed | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Inner Circle Esports | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Fingers Crossed - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.