TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof Pipsqueak+4, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7600…4478backed Pipsqueak+42c7,219$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1722647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc33…633ebacked Pipsqueak+40c6,545$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Pipsqueak+41c5,021$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.215549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Pipsqueak+43c4,208$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.044932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pipsqueak+41c3,667$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.46169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Pipsqueak+48c2,003$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.637037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Pipsqueak+457c2,000$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed41…a389backed Pipsqueak+41c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f47…d0a3backed Pipsqueak+41c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed L1ga Team75c1,894$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Pipsqueak+426c1,700$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.9918649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Pipsqueak+422c1,642$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.37935.4%28 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Pipsqueak+456c1,569$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.514538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed L1ga Team47c1,529$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.036854.4%37 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pipsqueak+432c1,404$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0573841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Pipsqueak+461c1,250$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.993256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed L1ga Team42c1,249$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed L1ga Team66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.359250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Pipsqueak+41c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Pipsqueak+410c811.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.148540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed L1ga Team44c550$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3086936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed L1ga Team73c545.28$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.282944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked L1ga Team72c500.26$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.531942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked L1ga Team57c491.24$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9916155.3%89 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Pipsqueak+443c462.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…e574backed Pipsqueak+49c455.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed L1ga Team70c423.5$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3429245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Pipsqueak+417c400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team48c395.78$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.754445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Pipsqueak+49c356.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5452243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Pipsqueak+428c341.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4534443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pipsqueak+464c313.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011753%62 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed L1ga Team79c307.43$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed L1ga Team40c300.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.456334.9%22 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed L1ga Team78c297.63$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed L1ga Team37c284.05$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2646535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed L1ga Team43c280$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.620838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked L1ga Team65c250.86$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.146352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked L1ga Team40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Pipsqueak+433c243.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4110945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb73b…7155backed L1ga Team73c237.4$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.52556%14 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team45c233.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.881,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…d264backed Pipsqueak+433c216.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Pipsqueak+459c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x396a…b1d3backed Pipsqueak+413c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed L1ga Team49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed L1ga Team39c199.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed L1ga Team79c197.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.879060%54 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c0e…fb07backed Pipsqueak+446c197.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.531457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked L1ga Team64c190.2$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.651844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x323a…5797backed L1ga Team42c186$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cec…2c1abacked Pipsqueak+458c186$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed L1ga Team63c183$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2457455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Pipsqueak+429c181.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4522534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked Pipsqueak+457c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed Pipsqueak+463c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.578349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed L1ga Team44c159.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7217342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed L1ga Team37c159.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1164744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea9…daefbacked Pipsqueak+461c155.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4a…45b9backed Pipsqueak+438c150.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ea…acfdbacked Pipsqueak+461c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51e…441abacked L1ga Team39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe044…de81backed Pipsqueak+461c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1078…2a62backed L1ga Team39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5275…a926backed Pipsqueak+461c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9551…5807backed L1ga Team39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed L1ga Team71c141.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.275761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Pipsqueak+458c116.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x465b…fe58backed Pipsqueak+441c109.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1460…5365backed L1ga Team52c102.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b0…0bd2backed Pipsqueak+443c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+432c101.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4186949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Pipsqueak+426c101.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2433945.1%153 W · 186 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9718…dd82backed Pipsqueak+459c101.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608636%31 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf987…6ea7backed Pipsqueak+431c100.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.09837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b37…fcd6backed Pipsqueak+415c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b6d…58f6backed Pipsqueak+410c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b6b…e1d6backed Pipsqueak+455c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Pipsqueak+442c98.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2210560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed Pipsqueak+429c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Pipsqueak+421c84.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.073286.4%21 W · 307 L-102.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Pipsqueak+460c83.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Pipsqueak+459c82.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0646451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed L1ga Team70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2414948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed L1ga Team33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Pipsqueak+467c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked L1ga Team50c74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375837.9%22 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked L1ga Team55c71.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.288950.6%45 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10e4…4113backed L1ga Team71c71.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.022882.1%23 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team45c71.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.252,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked L1ga Team79c66.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…b7c2backed L1ga Team78c60.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee8…6c2ebacked L1ga Team80c59.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked L1ga Team39c51.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.544037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f7…919bbacked L1ga Team70c50.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.24955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Pipsqueak+460c50.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.223652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8b…c4f6backed Pipsqueak+472c49.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Pipsqueak+456c45.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.776867.6%46 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57ff…961bbacked Pipsqueak+461c35.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd185…e40bbacked L1ga Team64c34.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.