Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d192ad40e81daf7c5f4049fa17dd3bf2450e7da6a4f6d2a01d95569115b975b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melbourne Starsof Sydney Sixers, Melbourne Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Melbourne Stars | 57c | 10,133$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,357.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Sydney Sixers | 43c | 9,999$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Melbourne Stars | 76c | 5,500$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Sydney Sixers | 23c | 4,220$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.9 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sydney Sixers | 31c | 4,115$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.46 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Melbourne Stars | 80c | 3,670$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Sydney Sixers | 20c | 2,445$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Melbourne Stars | 54c | 2,038$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.38 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sydney Sixers | 38c | 1,086$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.85 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Sydney Sixers | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Sydney Sixers | 47c | 999.94$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Sydney Sixers | 46c | 901.78$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sydney Sixers | 26c | 742.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Melbourne Stars | 61c | 732.93$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.2 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sydney Sixers | 35c | 718.9$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.26 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Sydney Sixers | 28c | 685.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Sydney Sixers | 20c | 323$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Melbourne Stars | 64c | 322.41$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Sydney Sixers | 20c | 318.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Sydney Sixers | 20c | 317.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Sydney Sixers | 15c | 307.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked Melbourne Stars | 64c | 269.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Melbourne Stars | 67c | 266.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…dc12backed Melbourne Stars | 76c | 248.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Melbourne Stars | 78c | 228.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Melbourne Stars | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sydney Sixers | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Melbourne Stars | 57c | 192.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Melbourne Stars | 53c | 189.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Melbourne Stars | 53c | 189.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…3dc5backed Melbourne Stars | 57c | 175.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…6951backed Sydney Sixers | 26c | 155.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Melbourne Stars | 53c | 150.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…0afabacked Sydney Sixers | 28c | 129.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Melbourne Stars | 59c | 113.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Melbourne Stars | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…4195backed Melbourne Stars | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Sydney Sixers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Sydney Sixers | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Sydney Sixers | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Melbourne Stars | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed Sydney Sixers | 33c | 91.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Sydney Sixers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed Melbourne Stars | 55c | 74.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Sydney Sixers | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Sydney Sixers | 36c | 41.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…0483backed Melbourne Stars | 56c | 41.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Sydney Sixers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Sydney Sixers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Melbourne Stars | 57c | 36.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Melbourne Stars | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Melbourne Stars | 61c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c41ebacked Melbourne Stars | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…5eb9backed Sydney Sixers | 40c | 32.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…a337backed Melbourne Stars | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sydney Sixers | 48c | 27.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…c7acbacked Melbourne Stars | 72c | 26.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c9…f6d0backed Melbourne Stars | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…367abacked Sydney Sixers | 53c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…e011backed Sydney Sixers | 48c | 21.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…521dbacked Melbourne Stars | 52c | 21.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Melbourne Stars | 67c | 14.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.