NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40597dd88f7917a1a58191fc8f16b19d2dc7a7525921aedb97c7360a5b2cd6b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Timberwolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,361,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,682,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,361,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 45c | 477,230$213,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263,994.25 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 391,096$215,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215,101.37 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 150,604$84,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,004.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Timberwolves | 15c | 146,145$21,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,927.54 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…d96dbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 140,000$78,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,399.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Lakers | 45c | 115,110$51,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,310.46 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Lakers | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,999.97 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Lakers | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,999.95 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,999.91 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 44c | 96,704$42,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,204.39 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 89,736$50,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,228.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Timberwolves | 55c | 89,727$49,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,349.84 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 79,663$44,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,011.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves | 55c | 76,811$42,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,245.86 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 43c | 75,972$32,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,376.95 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 45c | 69,902$31,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,446.09 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 40c | 69,073$27,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,579.65 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 46c | 57,362$26,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,105.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Timberwolves | 55c | 54,545$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Timberwolves | 0c | 52,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,499.98 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Timberwolves | 0c | 49,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 59c | 44,826$26,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,593.42 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 45c | 44,446$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,446.22 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 42,633$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.42 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Lakers | 43c | 41,713$17,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,776.57 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 56c | 39,421$22,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,075.12 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 13c | 36,701$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lakers | 45c | 34,311$15,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,796.1 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Timberwolves | 1c | 28,803$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Timberwolves | 1c | 28,740$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.62 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lakers | 58c | 27,172$15,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,392.68 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 58c | 26,702$15,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,487.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 25,722$14,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,181.31 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves | 1c | 23,803$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Lakers | 45c | 23,675$10,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,061.33 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 67c | 23,166$15,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,684.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Timberwolves | 57c | 22,697$12,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,871.41 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Lakers | 78c | 22,644$17,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.64 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves | 55c | 22,275$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250.36 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Lakers | 45c | 21,561$9,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,858.54 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Lakers | 79c | 21,544$17,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.65 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 38c | 21,064$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Lakers | 45c | 20,868$9,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,477.8 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Timberwolves | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…f5bdbacked Lakers | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Lakers | 43c | 19,999$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.37 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Timberwolves | 1c | 19,939$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.13 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves | 45c | 19,117$8,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,608.09 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Timberwolves | 8c | 18,408$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.25 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves | 55c | 18,362$10,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,099.1 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Lakers | 44c | 17,999$7,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,079.72 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 79c | 17,911$14,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.47 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…640fbacked Timberwolves | 3c | 17,600$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.73 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 17,004$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…abb4backed Timberwolves | 2c | 16,790$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 55c | 15,044$8,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,274.42 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 14,550$8,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,026.44 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Timberwolves | 3c | 13,931$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.85 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…e812backed Lakers | 66c | 13,900$9,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760.91 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Lakers | 45c | 12,790$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,034.4 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 12,058$6,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,631.89 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…e73ebacked Lakers | 45c | 12,009$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,604.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Lakers | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves | 1c | 11,900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 54c | 11,733$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,365.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 43c | 11,675$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.26 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Lakers | 54c | 11,640$6,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.03 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves | 55c | 11,100$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.99 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 46c | 10,867$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.92 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…4665backed Timberwolves | 57c | 10,629$6,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves | 31c | 10,099$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.31 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 10,001$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Lakers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Lakers | 48c | 9,964$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,134.84 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Lakers | 56c | 9,875$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.97 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…7f94backed Lakers | 45c | 9,086$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Lakers | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.15 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 9,000$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.97 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…5c93backed Lakers | 40c | 8,849$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 55c | 8,848$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.82 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Lakers | 62c | 8,800$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.96 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…23dcbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 8,443$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves | 55c | 7,900$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 53c | 7,852$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.77 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lakers | 51c | 7,597$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.24 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Timberwolves | 56c | 7,589$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.82 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Timberwolves | 55c | 7,466$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…c0dcbacked Lakers | 46c | 7,402$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 7,400$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.97 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…5599backed Timberwolves | 55c | 7,333$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Timberwolves | 55c | 7,263$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.53 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-0.5)Lakers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Lakers won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.