TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,734 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c35,329$18,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,069.1660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Over47c19,305$9,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,073.2330845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over51c11,202$5,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,712.8721250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c11,102$5,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.941,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c6,930$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c5,616$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.81,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under53c4,567$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.471,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over47c4,398$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.9422143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff8…a2cabacked Under49c4,122$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.221346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.221,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1762…c83ebacked Over12c3,740$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.992737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c2,890$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.121,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Under50c2,381$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.692133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c42…feefbacked Under60c2,372$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.611643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over44c2,171$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c2,060$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under51c1,966$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.528444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,937$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.872,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,905$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c1,826$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df0…3775backed Over40c1,799$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over52c1,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.9280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over50c1,384$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.753941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under52c1,252$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.9127455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over41c1,249$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.6121243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51cb…0c9fbacked Over40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.921428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Under57c1,035$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.239352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under53c946.14$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.691,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Under50c922.3$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.35541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c914.89$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over45c857.83$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.524151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under53c848.77$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over41c831.97$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0316338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under58c793.11$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1122447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Over43c731.15$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3167439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c659.62$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under62c645.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8c…1977backed Over41c635.42$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.522055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9225155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c534.25$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.4440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c479.03$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.613,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over48c451.55$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8423348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over35c442.71$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.951,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over40c408.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2655846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c404.17$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.211,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under52c327.85$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under53c321.26$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over44c319.77$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under52c318.82$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.930453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c290.75$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.472,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4619054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Over15c222$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.753036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under52c215.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.723655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa574…ae93backed Over7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+51%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over40c200.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.171,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under52c190.74$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1231354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over41c184.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.87843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f5…8335backed Over44c173.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.56659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Under52c168.09$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4725153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…2dadbacked Under59c166.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.381428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6242…c0d1backed Under61c164.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.079050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.356547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b29backed Under59c158.66$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.051553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Over47c158$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.267052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb96…34b9backed Under59c158$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88fb…9278backed Under59c152.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.681040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Over41c149.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1612349.6%61 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over48c142.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Under54c139.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1322953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under52c133.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.914466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under52c130.91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2626756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over49c129.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9320350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Under49c123.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.13053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Under52c120.11$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.637454.1%40 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.217148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Under52c113.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7327350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.992,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Under52c107.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.138243.9%36 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Under52c107.48$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.095341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.981,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over48c99.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7715154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c99.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Under53c99.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.036258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.231,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c89.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c87.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under59c84.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.881,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…34cdbacked Under61c82.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Under51c82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c0…a549backed Over43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under72c74.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.141,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.