NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b6770c7595a0d87ea2de0715ba6e5a9c1a5c37ff1846ebc5cb18b72bebff7b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,734 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 35,329$18,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,069.16 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Over | 47c | 19,305$9,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,073.23 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 51c | 11,202$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712.87 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 11,102$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,217.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 6,930$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 5,616$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.8 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.96 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 4,567$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.47 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 4,398$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.94 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…a2cabacked Under | 49c | 4,122$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.22 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c83ebacked Over | 12c | 3,740$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 2,890$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…4624backed Under | 50c | 2,381$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.69 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…feefbacked Under | 60c | 2,372$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over | 44c | 2,171$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 2,060$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 51c | 1,966$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.52 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,937$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.87 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,905$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 1,826$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…3775backed Over | 40c | 1,799$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.92 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over | 50c | 1,384$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 52c | 1,252$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.91 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 41c | 1,249$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.61 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…0c9fbacked Over | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Under | 57c | 1,035$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.23 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 946.14$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.69 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Under | 50c | 922.3$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.3 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 914.89$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 45c | 857.83$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 53c | 848.77$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.11 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 41c | 831.97$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.03 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 58c | 793.11$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Over | 43c | 731.15$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 659.62$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 62c | 645.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.3 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Over | 41c | 635.42$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 534.25$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 479.03$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 48c | 451.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 35c | 442.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 40c | 408.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 404.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.21 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 327.85$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 53c | 321.26$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.56 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 44c | 319.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 52c | 318.82$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 290.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Over | 15c | 222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Under | 52c | 215.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…ae93backed Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 40c | 200.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 52c | 190.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 41c | 184.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…8335backed Over | 44c | 173.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 52c | 168.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Under | 59c | 166.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…c0d1backed Under | 61c | 164.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Under | 59c | 158.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Over | 47c | 158$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Under | 59c | 158$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Under | 59c | 152.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Over | 41c | 149.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 48c | 142.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Under | 54c | 139.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 52c | 133.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 130.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 49c | 129.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Under | 49c | 123.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Under | 52c | 120.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Under | 52c | 113.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…698dbacked Under | 52c | 107.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…591ebacked Under | 52c | 107.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Over | 48c | 99.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 99.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Under | 53c | 99.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 89.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 87.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 84.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…34cdbacked Under | 61c | 82.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Under | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…a549backed Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 72c | 74.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-0.5)Lakers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Lakers won
- Timberwolves vs. LakersLakers won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.