NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae576b7f912ad754389760c21c0450d3e012d0dc70686df265802d4e596a7c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Timberwolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,675,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,675,757 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Timberwolves | 51c | 862,780$442,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442,462.78 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 48c | 500,000$240,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 50c | 331,514$165,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,112.54 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Timberwolves | 52c | 245,672$127,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,584.09 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 48c | 147,875$70,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,895.01 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 49c | 133,461$64,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,615.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…d96dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 122,804$62,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,629.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 114,654$59,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,620.15 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lakers | 51c | 110,000$56,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,900.07 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 49c | 88,000$43,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,879.98 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 69,611$34,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,109.57 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 49c | 40,000$19,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,404.42 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 48c | 34,202$16,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,785.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Lakers | 52c | 19,560$10,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,405.46 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 48c | 18,789$9,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,770.1 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 48c | 16,778$8,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,724.57 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 13,351$6,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,675.41 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 49c | 10,093$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lakers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 9,742$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lakers | 48c | 9,560$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.42 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 8,541$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 7,920$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 48c | 7,455$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Lakers | 48c | 5,976$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.3 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Lakers | 47c | 5,795$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.56 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 49c | 5,046$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.46 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Lakers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,990$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,647$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 50c | 4,430$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.08 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,150$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.61 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,637$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.13 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Lakers | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lakers | 51c | 3,154$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.68 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Lakers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,550$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.5 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,350$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.5 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers | 50c | 2,333$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.33 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Lakers | 49c | 2,195$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.44 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,036$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,833$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,667$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,504$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.8 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,310$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.77 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.12 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.64 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Lakers | 48c | 1,001$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.11 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Lakers | 50c | 932$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.06 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Timberwolves | 51c | 913.33$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.8 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves | 48c | 895.85$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Lakers | 50c | 855.98$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.99 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 796$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Timberwolves | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Lakers | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Lakers | 49c | 732.14$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.39 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 50c | 685.82$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 676.38$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.48 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Lakers | 50c | 676.38$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.2 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Lakers | 50c | 675.73$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.88 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 660$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.92 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Lakers | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 48c | 570.05$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…2928backed Timberwolves | 53c | 566.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Timberwolves | 51c | 529.41$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves | 51c | 508.16$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Lakers | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 467.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 466.58$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.62 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Lakers | 47c | 448.65$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.2 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Lakers | 47c | 444.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 75c | 440$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 414.34$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 410.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 396.36$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Lakers | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Timberwolves | 51c | 391.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…6413backed Timberwolves | 51c | 368.79$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Lakers | 50c | 351.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Lakers | 51c | 342.37$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.44 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Lakers | 48c | 324.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 297$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Lakers | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 294$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 294$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 51c | 264$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Lakers | 50c | 262.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-0.5)Lakers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Lakers won
- Timberwolves vs. LakersLakers won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.