NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4b87e4a4674ff3733c12c5e3fb10a9e565baf2287e6a71f7aa0e03c0fa64c7

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Timberwolves, Lakers
Resolved: Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $289,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,139 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Timberwolves	48c	212,694$102,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,093.07	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers	52c	203,364$105,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,614.84	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers	53c	20,528$10,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,604.57	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves	46c	18,216$8,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,421.06	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Timberwolves	47c	13,810$6,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,490.7	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Lakers	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,700	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers	52c	5,959$3,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,842.96	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers	53c	4,306$2,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,033.11	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Lakers	51c	4,279$2,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,096.88	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,879.99	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves	48c	3,974$1,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.29	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers	52c	3,737$1,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,794	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves	48c	3,370$1,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,617.46	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Timberwolves	47c	2,863$1,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,345.53	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers	54c	2,610$1,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.68	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Timberwolves	46c	2,094$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.98	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers	54c	1,982$1,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.43	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers	53c	1,743$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.9	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	43c	1,523$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.28	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves	47c	1,408$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.91	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers	54c	1,176$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.91	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves	47c	1,100$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.99	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves	47c	1,043$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.38	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Lakers	56c	714.29$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.29	161	62.7%101 W · 60 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Lakers	53c	660.38$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.38	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Timberwolves	48c	557.67$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.37	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Lakers	55c	545.5$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.5	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Lakers	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Lakers	42c	500$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Lakers	46c	463$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.02	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Timberwolves	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Timberwolves	46c	309.38$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.29	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa75a…6933backed Timberwolves	49c	303.06$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves	47c	298.67$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.33	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2571…a49abacked Timberwolves	55c	296.1$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e1…d4d9backed Lakers	53c	262.22$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.24	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+4.4wins	+0.37per pick	55cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Lakers	53c	247.85$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.54	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Timberwolves	48c	207.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Lakers	52c	203.33$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.6	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Lakers	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Lakers	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Lakers	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	155	47.1%73 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Lakers	56c	178.72$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.72	126	61.1%77 W · 49 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…99d0backed Timberwolves	47c	169.8$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.81	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Timberwolves	46c	155$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.15	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers	48c	150.18$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.58	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Timberwolves	53c	140$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Lakers	53c	132.18$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.18	211	64.5%136 W · 75 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Lakers	54c	128.9$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.9	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Timberwolves	47c	127.94$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	127	39.4%50 W · 77 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Lakers	55c	120.05$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.05	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Timberwolves	47c	119.92$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Timberwolves	49c	105.88$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.88	158	57%90 W · 68 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Lakers	54c	104.02$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.75	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Lakers	52c	101.66$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.8	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d18…fd1bbacked Lakers	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Lakers	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.02	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976b…cf45backed Lakers	80c	96.75$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f5…8335backed Timberwolves	47c	93.3$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.78	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4c…cec8backed Timberwolves	47c	92.42$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.44	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Timberwolves	46c	90$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves	57c	87.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624e…e95cbacked Lakers	53c	84.24$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.67	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Timberwolves	46c	83.19$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Timberwolves	49c	70.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.51	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Timberwolves	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Lakers	53c	58.53$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.57	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9683…108bbacked Lakers	53c	56.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.71	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Lakers	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Lakers	55c	45.47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.47	216	51.4%111 W · 105 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Timberwolves	46c	43.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	139	47.5%66 W · 73 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Lakers	55c	39.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Timberwolves	45c	39.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	137	38.7%53 W · 84 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c5…0d4cbacked Lakers	53c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.43	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa574…ae93backed Timberwolves	54c	36.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	45cpaid	+51%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Timberwolves	47c	36.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9be6…b8b2backed Lakers	55c	36.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Timberwolves	46c	32.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…99bebacked Timberwolves	46c	32.68$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc893…c015backed Timberwolves	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…740abacked Lakers	53c	30.25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Lakers	53c	30.25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…a66abacked Lakers	53c	30.17$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.18	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Lakers	55c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x592a…7f8bbacked Lakers	53c	28.36$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.36	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Lakers	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	267	57.3%153 W · 114 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Lakers	53c	27.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.77	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Lakers	54c	25.97$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.97	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Timberwolves	52c	25.57$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Timberwolves	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Lakers	50c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8f…e509backed Lakers	53c	22.68$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.68	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Lakers	53c	22.44$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Timberwolves	49c	20.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Timberwolves	52c	20.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc01a…f8e7backed Lakers	53c	19.94$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.37	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…b1debacked Lakers	53c	19.94$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.37	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Lakers	53c	19.42$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.13	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Lakers	53c	18.87$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.87	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-0.5)Lakers won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Lakers won
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Lakers won
Timberwolves vs. LakersLakers won
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event