NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ae48b29b3fec2b54614307173871a63f84a6ec790f8888e288446502583980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Timberwolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,465 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 46c | 459,625$211,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248,197.28 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 54c | 309,637$167,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,528.68 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 84,646$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 45c | 54,115$24,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,494.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 48,062$26,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,130.12 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 54c | 32,705$17,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,660.96 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 46c | 30,771$14,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,629.06 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves | 54c | 22,632$12,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,252.83 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 22,216$11,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,983.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Timberwolves | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 46c | 15,260$7,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,196.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves | 54c | 12,233$6,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,605.7 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 54c | 11,180$6,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,037 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…23eebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 8,661$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lakers | 45c | 7,204$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.44 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 5,811$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 5,195$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.55 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 54c | 4,011$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 3,732$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.63 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,853$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,772$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.75 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,606$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 46c | 2,510$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.15 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,090$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,035$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,845$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.38 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Lakers | 46c | 1,556$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.18 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,285$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.98 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Lakers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 54c | 1,044$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,023$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.42 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…2edfbacked Lakers | 47c | 883$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 52c | 643.15$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.44 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Timberwolves | 54c | 614.81$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Lakers | 44c | 574.35$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.91 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ce…0f40backed Timberwolves | 10c | 501.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Lakers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Timberwolves | 20c | 385$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Lakers | 46c | 355.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 352.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Lakers | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 68c | 277$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers | 48c | 259.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…38e4backed Lakers | 46c | 239.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Lakers | 44c | 230.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 47c | 226.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…a58dbacked Lakers | 46c | 218.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 194$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…7278backed Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 44c | 186.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Timberwolves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Timberwolves | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Lakers | 47c | 163.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Timberwolves | 54c | 154.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Timberwolves | 66c | 151.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…a549backed Lakers | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…e95cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 128.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…6006backed Lakers | 47c | 123.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 52c | 118.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Lakers | 43c | 115$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 54c | 109.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Timberwolves | 56c | 107.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 107.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 34c | 101.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Lakers | 47c | 101.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lakers | 40c | 99.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Timberwolves | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Timberwolves | 55c | 89.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 80.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 72.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Timberwolves | 56c | 71.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 69.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Timberwolves | 55c | 69.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves | 54c | 67.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Timberwolves | 54c | 66.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Lakers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Timberwolves | 65c | 62.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Timberwolves | 55c | 60.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 56.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 54.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Lakers | 56c | 54.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Lakers | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Lakers | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…d682backed Timberwolves | 56c | 51.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 46.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-0.5)Lakers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Lakers won
- Timberwolves vs. LakersLakers won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.