CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e35f9aeb1d15de6926547d951cfb91884fcb6f64f8fd06284e95b7dca92b6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 20c | 1,554$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Sashi Esport | 71c | 1,506$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.25 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9fcbbacked MASONIC | 4c | 1,354$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Sashi Esport | 2c | 992.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.94 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sashi Esport | 75c | 971.02$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Sashi Esport | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed MASONIC | 27c | 583.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sashi Esport | 71c | 492.69$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked MASONIC | 29c | 330.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed MASONIC | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked MASONIC | 49c | 294.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MASONIC | 30c | 290.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Sashi Esport | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…5fe8backed MASONIC | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sashi Esport | 67c | 132.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MASONIC | 26c | 116.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed MASONIC | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Sashi Esport | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed MASONIC | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed MASONIC | 30c | 73.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC | 17c | 67.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…33c0backed MASONIC | 33c | 65.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked MASONIC | 35c | 45.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…edbdbacked MASONIC | 59c | 39.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed MASONIC | 58c | 35.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…6330backed MASONIC | 29c | 34.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…5e58backed Sashi Esport | 59c | 33.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Sashi Esport | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Sashi Esport | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0465…49e2backed Sashi Esport | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Sashi Esport | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.