CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x794d5550c295d0926604d109c4c807b5a22cc93cecf51d2f5a0e30f2f224218e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof MOUZ NXT, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed magic | 66c | 6,000$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.09 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 1,767$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.64 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 62c | 874.27$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.54 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 658$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked magic | 59c | 539.05$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 430.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 388.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 346.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 254.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 220.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked magic | 67c | 204.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed magic | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 73c | 198$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 151.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed magic | 67c | 122$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 102.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked magic | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed magic | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked magic | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed magic | 62c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…a7debacked magic | 64c | 52.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed magic | 67c | 49.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed magic | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 34.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed magic | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 29.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed magic | 65c | 27.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed magic | 72c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…a2d3backed magic | 74c | 19.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed magic | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed magic | 68c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.