Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ivory vs Veroja (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4096f3c74f66c7b8ff060608c73c7a7680eb41f98eb91f8480815eee1ad42a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Ivory, Veroja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Veroja | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Ivory | 50c | 1,552$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.91 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Veroja | 54c | 999.99$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Veroja | 27c | 717.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…c70dbacked Veroja | 21c | 638$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Veroja | 10c | 620$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Ivory | 59c | 607.15$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Veroja | 57c | 580.15$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Veroja | 55c | 559.97$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Ivory | 64c | 474.89$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Veroja | 18c | 433.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Veroja | 50c | 413.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Veroja | 19c | 375.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Ivory | 40c | 332$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Ivory | 54c | 321.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Veroja | 48c | 311$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Veroja | 49c | 303.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Ivory | 60c | 300.73$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Veroja | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Veroja | 34c | 275.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Ivory | 50c | 240.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…b642backed Ivory | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Veroja | 47c | 215.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed Ivory | 57c | 207$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Veroja | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed Veroja | 24c | 199.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Veroja | 48c | 185$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Veroja | 15c | 183.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Veroja | 51c | 183.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Ivory | 45c | 170.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Veroja | 46c | 145.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Veroja | 26c | 139.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ivory | 50c | 126.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Ivory | 77c | 105.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Ivory | 50c | 103.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Veroja | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Ivory | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Veroja | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Ivory | 50c | 97.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Ivory | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Ivory | 50c | 81.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Ivory | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Veroja | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Veroja | 50c | 74.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Ivory | 37c | 74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…4756backed Ivory | 74c | 67.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…b9c8backed Veroja | 20c | 66.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Ivory | 60c | 66.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Ivory | 45c | 62.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Ivory | 69c | 58.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Veroja | 48c | 53.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Veroja | 25c | 42.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…6b31backed Ivory | 56c | 39.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Ivory | 50c | 36.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Ivory | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…3badbacked Ivory | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Ivory | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…249abacked Ivory | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Ivory | 45c | 22.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…8475backed Ivory | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Veroja | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Ivory | 53c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…6878backed Ivory | 66c | 19.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Ivory | 66c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc3…25dbbacked Ivory | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Veroja (BO5)this page
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Veroja - Game 2 WinnerIvory won
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Veroja - Game 3 WinnerIvory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.