CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56019fd78edae7806a5ea660d61223f3994de370f66b24ec58712f276404205c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Nemiga | 57c | 4,827$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.87 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed illwill | 1c | 3,833$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked illwill | 44c | 2,035$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.65 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 21c | 1,863$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.71 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Nemiga | 55c | 1,862$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.9 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Nemiga | 76c | 1,639$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed illwill | 45c | 1,548$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked illwill | 8c | 1,446$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed illwill | 8c | 1,288$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…e574backed illwill | 3c | 1,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked illwill | 21c | 1,180$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.79 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed illwill | 44c | 1,000$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.47 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed illwill | 43c | 999.94$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…9ab0backed illwill | 44c | 997$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…9f33backed Nemiga | 57c | 902$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga | 56c | 759.44$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.44 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Nemiga | 79c | 663.38$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed illwill | 44c | 659.65$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed illwill | 22c | 609.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Nemiga | 77c | 604.68$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Nemiga | 66c | 415.67$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed illwill | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Nemiga | 55c | 371.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked illwill | 43c | 349$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 13c | 288.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Nemiga | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed illwill | 45c | 269.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed illwill | 44c | 261.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed illwill | 27c | 257.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Nemiga | 58c | 248.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed illwill | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…05f5backed Nemiga | 57c | 234.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked illwill | 42c | 233.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Nemiga | 55c | 233.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed illwill | 42c | 224.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1965…cbd4backed illwill | 43c | 208$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf073…5696backed Nemiga | 57c | 208$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed illwill | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…6218backed illwill | 43c | 204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…40b9backed Nemiga | 57c | 204$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Nemiga | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Nemiga | 51c | 198.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Nemiga | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…3365backed illwill | 42c | 176.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Nemiga | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed illwill | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…c035backed Nemiga | 64c | 156.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked illwill | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked illwill | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked illwill | 48c | 146.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Nemiga | 65c | 146.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Nemiga | 74c | 144.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed illwill | 43c | 110.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…a28dbacked Nemiga | 79c | 109.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…73dabacked Nemiga | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed illwill | 26c | 100.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed illwill | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed illwill | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed illwill | 25c | 87.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Nemiga | 58c | 86.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked Nemiga | 77c | 75.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Nemiga | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked illwill | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Nemiga | 52c | 51.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed illwill | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked illwill | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked illwill | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Nemiga | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…a2fbbacked illwill | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Nemiga | 58c | 43.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Nemiga | 79c | 43.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked illwill | 47c | 42.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked illwill | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c79…ea52backed Nemiga | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Nemiga | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…f70ebacked Nemiga | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked illwill | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nemiga | 56c | 31.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed illwill | 44c | 31.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…71d5backed illwill | 47c | 30.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…1a16backed Nemiga | 55c | 30.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked Nemiga | 64c | 29.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…9ebdbacked Nemiga | 57c | 27.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…6f35backed illwill | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Nemiga | 57c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…7c5dbacked illwill | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Nemiga | 57c | 21.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…b20fbacked Nemiga | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.