TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff00…74d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT7744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs S2G Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.99
LoL: Vantex Esports vs The Otter Side (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Vantex Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$33.39
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+202%+$30.29
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Arctic Pandas (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked EXILE esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: La BOMBAS vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked La BOMBAS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: SPAXFAMILY vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked SPAXFAMILY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+167.1%+$33.43
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
Counter-Strike: 500 vs ex-Betera Esports (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85%+$11.05
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9INE (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37.4%+$7.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.