Lol · resolved market
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a092aa24285a9de30c530720bff43d5c4d898ec8f9e7f51b2463edddfa9c688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaufland Hangry Knightsof ROSSMANN Centaurs, Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 2,377$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.58 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 1,927$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.02 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 71c | 1,769$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.89 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 71c | 1,377$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.4 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 29c | 1,317$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 1,251$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…ee3ebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 67c | 1,118$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.94 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 71c | 775.96$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 759.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 695.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 684.38$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 605.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 600.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 76c | 583.04$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 488.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 443.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 73c | 431.01$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 73c | 367.58$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 33c | 364.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 301$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 70c | 260.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 27c | 218.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 208.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 200.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 68c | 162.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 69c | 158.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 149.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 120.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…1c5dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…216abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 97.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 94.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb246…d98abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 79.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…dcc5backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 29c | 64.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 63.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 29c | 48.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 29c | 48.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 72c | 45.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 43.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 38.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 77c | 36.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…4452backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 72c | 34.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +143%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 68c | 33.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 66c | 24.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 72c | 18.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.