TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, SU Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed SU Esports29c15,675$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.8323351.1%119 W · 114 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Bushido Wildcats71c15,000$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3506541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed SU Esports55c8,482$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.251,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Bushido Wildcats45c8,054$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,414.056139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Bushido Wildcats67c5,641$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.7911950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed SU Esports33c4,333$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.7814644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Bushido Wildcats62c4,093$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.2914637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7db…ee3ebacked Bushido Wildcats70c2,700$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8103925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed SU Esports31c2,579$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.292,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked SU Esports45c2,479$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.88056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bushido Wildcats69c2,394$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.0470162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed SU Esports30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Bushido Wildcats69c1,643$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.47536%27 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Bushido Wildcats49c1,600$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82482554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed SU Esports31c1,548$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.752,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked SU Esports36c1,257$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9775942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…6e27backed Bushido Wildcats57c1,245$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.661947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed SU Esports38c1,210$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.8441644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed SU Esports35c1,198$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2213030.8%40 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SU Esports39c1,181$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.372,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed SU Esports30c1,040$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.093815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SU Esports40c1,016$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.282,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Bushido Wildcats66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Bushido Wildcats64c941.55$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d3…5ea8backed SU Esports46c914.17$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.341631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed SU Esports25c886.93$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.731,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Bushido Wildcats50c861.54$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7727346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d20…ca2abacked Bushido Wildcats75c788.79$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.213935.3%49 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed SU Esports50c783.78$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked SU Esports31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Bushido Wildcats62c643.89$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3914554.5%79 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed SU Esports31c600$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18840347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed SU Esports30c599.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Bushido Wildcats69c564.94$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.132759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked SU Esports56c535.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d40…2230backed SU Esports39c455.77$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Bushido Wildcats52c406.37$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.372060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed SU Esports40c384.85$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.410738.3%41 W · 66 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc58…1e76backed SU Esports31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked SU Esports27c314.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0114545.5%66 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d98…7e3fbacked Bushido Wildcats54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed SU Esports41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12317942.5%76 W · 103 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Bushido Wildcats38c297.44$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.445747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked SU Esports27c291.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.662138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Bushido Wildcats69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8618347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe703…37ddbacked Bushido Wildcats70c285.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8715556.1%87 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed SU Esports46c269.48$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3835850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked SU Esports30c263.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1639832.7%130 W · 268 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked SU Esports30c257.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1561045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bushido Wildcats70c236.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8230247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Bushido Wildcats43c234.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3392342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SU Esports39c227.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.211,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed SU Esports28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5654129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Bushido Wildcats60c185$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7416935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked SU Esports40c183.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7340237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec8…0ddfbacked SU Esports7c168.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Bushido Wildcats61c165.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.253148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed SU Esports31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed SU Esports34c150.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4254054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Bushido Wildcats73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.513556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked SU Esports26c149.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9631829.2%93 W · 225 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Bushido Wildcats70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8623674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed SU Esports33c141.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.459529.5%28 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked SU Esports30c132.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058649.8%292 W · 294 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10f…ae45backed SU Esports65c131.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0657…3a78backed Bushido Wildcats69c130.48$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4522256.3%125 W · 97 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ce5…5fb6backed SU Esports67c124.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…8e2ebacked Bushido Wildcats70c122.58$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Bushido Wildcats68c120$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3914742.2%62 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed SU Esports32c106.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1510823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0705…41ebbacked SU Esports44c106$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.641533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed SU Esports29c104.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked SU Esports30c100.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.341,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Bushido Wildcats68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329754.6%53 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Bushido Wildcats69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3147444.1%209 W · 265 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Bushido Wildcats74c99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked SU Esports38c91.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.61,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed SU Esports34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028246.5%131 W · 151 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Bushido Wildcats71c85.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.797146.5%33 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked SU Esports32c81.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9921457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed SU Esports41c77.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8574849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed SU Esports40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304327.9%12 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Bushido Wildcats71c70.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.497045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked SU Esports28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked SU Esports49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.36352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked SU Esports37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.928837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Bushido Wildcats71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.153966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SU Esports37c69.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.122,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Bushido Wildcats73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4912054.2%65 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Bushido Wildcats78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.134960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked SU Esports32c61.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.796535.4%23 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Bushido Wildcats76c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.448347%39 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed SU Esports51c55.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2874344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Bushido Wildcats63c51.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9519946.7%93 W · 106 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff00…74d7backed SU Esports30c50.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked SU Esports33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-61.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x529f…6fb8backed Bushido Wildcats66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c9…476dbacked Bushido Wildcats62c48.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7524271.9%174 W · 68 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24f9…ed77backed SU Esports31c48.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…f008backed SU Esports37c47.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.783036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.