Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b478fb72e392fda63488a8c99341c0c152a51a014d60a80aedbd6135350bb83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof Bushido Wildcats, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Bushido Wildcats | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed SU Esports | 41c | 2,577$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.42 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 1,157$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.63 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.4 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed SU Esports | 55c | 812$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.01 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 440.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SU Esports | 48c | 300.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed SU Esports | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 179.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…8655backed Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 132.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…192cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 122.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed SU Esports | 57c | 81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SU Esports | 45c | 77.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SU Esports | 45c | 75.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 47.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 46.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…cc09backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 43.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 40.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 32.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed SU Esports | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SU Esports | 52c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 20.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs SU Esports (+1.5)SU Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 3 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 4 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.