CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4de9138176430c26a94e74820f908ef215957fd723ff25d09a09e2c641fc1e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 500of CYBERSHOKE Esports, 500
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x303b…53cabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 1c | 2,022$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 11c | 1,007$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 652.57$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 45c | 600.45$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 500 | 55c | 505.45$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.45 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 220$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 14c | 177.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…65a3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 10c | 123.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0393…6981backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 51c | 118.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed 500 | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed 500 | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked 500 | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 15c | 99.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed 500 | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked 500 | 54c | 93.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 46c | 84.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…d895backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked 500 | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked 500 | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…571ebacked 500 | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed 500 | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…9d1ebacked 500 | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed 500 | 54c | 24.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked 500 | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…b6aabacked 500 | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 - Map 1 Winner500 won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 - Map 2 Winner500 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.