TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf70e…571e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.3%+$8.61
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$35.63
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Abacked ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+54.8%+$13.63
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Abacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Prison Breakers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bad Luck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+89.7%+$12.56
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs AaB esport (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.62
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+106.8%+$44.86
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.96
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.38
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 500 - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+237.6%+$30.22
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$27.08
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+70.1%+$10.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+51.4%+$13.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$42.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.